Social Value of Hurricane Forecasts
Social Value of Hurricane Forecasts
Speaker: Dr. Renato Molina, University of Miami What is the impact and value of hurricane forecasts? We study this question using newly-collected forecast data for the universe of land-falling US hurricanes between 2005–2022. We find higher wind speed forecasts increase pre-landfall protective spending. Erroneous under-forecasts of wind speed increase hurricane damage and after-hurricane rebuilding expenditures. […]